EXAMINING THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PUBLIC SPENDING ON EDUCATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT PROBLEM IN NIGERIA
Nigeria
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51200/mjbe.vi.2879Keywords:
Nigeria , unemployment , public expenditure , education, human capital JEL Classification: E62, H52, I22, I28Abstract
Much of the problems of unemployment in the past has been placed on the inadequacy of the country’s schooling system to be able to impact needed skills. Empirical and theoretical evidences are overwhelmingly in support of the significant role of public expenditure in education having multiplier effect on employment. Empirical evidence shows that this is not consistent in a macroeconomic framework. Government has been indicted of not doing enough to support education with its budgetary shortcomings to the sector. This study investigates the impact of government spending on unemployment in Nigeria. OLS estimates adopted for secondary data regressed over 27-year period for unemployment, federal government recurrent expenditure on education and economic growth indicated that while growth is significant and indeed influence unemployment negatively in line with our a-priori expectation, it is not the same for the impact of public expenditure on education. Our findings from this was that while Nigeria’s educational capacity has increased, its impact is shallow as the economy is unable to absorb the graduates. In order to address this anomaly, government will need to enhance its effectiveness through creating adequate channels for enterprise growth and sustainability which will increase the latter’s capacity to employ more labour.
Nigeria, unemployment, public expenditure, education, human capital
JEL Classification: E62, H52, I22, I28
References
Adedigba, A. (2017, December 9). Fact Check: Did UNESCO Ever Recommend 26 percent Budgetary Allocation to Education? Premium Times. Retrieved from https:// www. p remiumtimesng. com/news/ headlines/251927-fact-check-unesco-ever-recommend-26-per-cent-budgetary-allocation-ducation.html
Ageli, M.M. (2013). Wagner’s Law in Saudi Arabia 1970 – 2012: An Econometric Analysis. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 3(5), 647-59.
Akande, T. (2014, September 23). Youth Unemployment in Nigeria: A Situation Analysis. Brookings (Africa in Focus), Tuesday. Retrieved from https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2014/09/23/youth-unemployment-in-nigeria-a-situation-analysis/.
Akpolat, A.G. (2014). The Long-Term Impact of Human Capital Investment on GDP: A Panel Cointegrated Regression Analysis. Economics Research International 2014 (2004): 1-10.
Amadeo, K. (2019, March 7). Structural Unemployment, Its Causes, and Examples: Why It’s Harder to Find a Job Now in Some Industries? The Balance. Retrieved from https://www.thebalance.com/structural-unemployment-3306202.
Ameh, J. and Aluko, O. (2019, January 4). 2019 Budget: Education Gets N620.5 bn, Against UNESCO’s Advice. The Punch Newspaper. Retrieved from https://punchng.com/2019- budget-education-gets-n620-5bn-against-unescos-advice/
Atueyi, U. (2015, January 2014). Nigeria Should Strive for a Minimum of 30 per cent Budget on Education. The Guardian. Retrieved from https://guardian.ng/features/education/nigeria-should-strive-for-a-minimum-of-30-per-cent-budget-on-education/
Barro, R. (1990). Government spending in a single model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98, S103-S117.
Becker, S.G. (1962). Investment in human capital: A theoretical analysis. Journal of Political Economy, 70 (October), 9-49.
Board of Governors of Missouri State University. (n.a.). Goals of general education and learning outcomes. Missouri State University. Retrieved from https://www.missouristate. edu/generaleducation/Goals_GenEd.htm.
BudgIT. (2018). Public education financing: Issues and recommendations. BudgIT. Retrieved from https://yourbudgit.com/wp-content/ uploads/2018/04/Public- Education-Financing- Issues-and-Recommendations.pdf.
Burton A.W. (1962). Education and investment in human capital. Journal of Political Economy, 70(106).
C & K CareersOnline. (n.a.). Qualifications have a big effect on pay. CareersOnline. Retrieved from https://ckcareersonline.org.uk/ uncategorised/133-qualifications-have-a-big-effect-on-pay.
Central Bank of Nigeria [CBN]. (2009). CBN statistical bulletin 2008. Abuja: CBN.
Central Bank of Nigeria [CBN]. (2018). CBN Statistical Bulletin 2017. Abuja: CBN.
CFI Education Inc. (n.a.). Structural unemployment. Retrieved from https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/ economics/structural-unemployment/.
Diagne, P.A. (2006). Investing in people: Education and health. African Development Bank Seminar - African Economic Research Consortium, Tunis, Tunisia, 22-24 November 2006.
Dipo, L. (2018, April 9. Funding of education in Nigeria below UNESCO recommended benchmark, says ministry. This Day. Retrieved from https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2018/04/09/funding-of-education-in-nigeria-below-unesco-recommended-benchmark-says-ministry/
Dorotinsky, B. (2004). Public expenditure and financial management: An integrated perspective. Retrieved from http://www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/LearningProgram/PEAM/peam.htm or http://www1.worldbank.org/publicsector/LearningProgram/PEAM/DorotinskyBackCh2.pdf. (Background Materials: Chapter 2. The Budget and Its Coverage, 2004).
Economy. (n.a.). What is structural unemployment? Retrieved from https://www.ecnmy.org/ learn/your-livelihood/unemployment/ what - i s - struc tura l -unemployment / (accessed 7 March 2019).
Edame, E. (2008). The essential of public finance and public financial management in Nigeria (Revised 3rd ed.). Calabar: Wusen Press Ltd.
Figueroa, A. (2015). Education and human capital formation, in Growth, Employment, Inequality, and the Environment. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
Ghafar, A. A. (2016, May). Educated but unemployed: The challenge facing Egypt’s youth. Policy Briefing. Doha, Qatar: Brookings Doha Center.
Gujarati, N.D., and Porter, D.C. (2009). Basic econometrics (5th ed.). New York: McGraw- Hill Companies, Inc.
Hayes, A. (2019, June 15). Endogenous growth. Investopedia. Retrieved from https://www. investopedia.com/terms/e/endogenous-growth.asp